Free Plays

MLB  |  Jul 24, 2014
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants
in 1h

Rocketman Sports FREE play Thursday 7-24-14

San Francisco @ Philadelphia  1:05 PM EST
Play On:  San Francisco +106 (Hudson/Hamels) Listed

The San Francisco Giants travel to Philadelphia to take on the Phillies on Thursday afternoon.  San Francisco is now 57-44 overall this year while Philadelphia comes in with a 43-58 overall record on the season.  Philadelphia is 24-34 last 3 years at home when the total is 7 or less.  San Francisco has won 6 of their past 7 games overall.  Philadelphia is 1-7 last 8 games overall.  San Francisco is scoring 6.1 runs per game their past 7 games overall while allowing only 3.1 runs per game during that time.  Philadelphia is only 19-32 at home this year.  Philadelphia is scoring only 3.1 runs per game their past 7 games overall while allowing 6.3 runs per game past 7 games.  Tim Hudson is 8-6 with a 2.77 ERA overall this year and 3-3 with a 2.32 ERA on the road this season.  Hudson has 31 strike outs and only 5 walks on the road this year.  San Francisco has won 7 of 9 meetings in Philadelphia the past 3 years and has won all 3 meetings so far this season.  We'll recommend a small play on San Francisco today!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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MLB  |  Jul 24, 2014
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
  at  5DIMES
in 8h


NY Mets @ Milwaukee

The Mets are on fire.  10-4 run, WOW.  This series is notorious for the Under, 7-1 the last 8 meetings, but remember that trends tend to reverse and even out more times than not and with the total at 7.5, oddsmakers look for this to be a low scoring affair tonight.  I like the Brew Crew at home here, and while their starting pitcher stats do not match the numbers of the Mets starter on the season, the Mets offense, no matter how hot they are will struggle again tonight and that will be doom.

Matt Garza takes the hill at home tonight with a solid 3.71 ERA his last 3 and considering that the Mets as a team are hitting a paltry .156 as a team against right handers their last 5 games, and .170 overall as a team, I consider Garza with run support which he will have, the winning pitcher here tonight as he squares off against Dillon Gee whose ERA on the season is 2.92 but in his last 3 his ERA has increased to 4.00.  It is Garza’s 0.96 WHIP that is impressive in his last 3 starts.  The Brew Crew have put up 18 runs in their last 4 games, including a sweep of the Cincy Reds who were hot, while the Mets have managed just 9 runs in their last 4 games.

It is about pitching and hitting folks, but in this game while I consider the pitching and bullpens almost dead even, it is the hitting and offense of Milwaukee that hold value, especially at home because the Mets are 7 games below 500 on the road.  A little chalky on the line here but worth the stretch for a half unit play in this contest tonight.


Free Pro Pick on Milwaukee -145

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MLB  |  Jul 24, 2014
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
in 8h

Free Pick on Chicago White Sox +

The White Sox are showing unbelievable value as a huge road underdog against division rival Minnesota. While Chicago comes in off -back-to-back losses, it's not like Minnesota is playing great either. The Twins are just 2-4 in their 6 games since the break and should not be this big of a favorite with Phil Hughes on the mound.

Hughes has a solid 10-6 record, but has a not so great 4.06 ERA, which is only slightly better than the Hector Noesi's 4.62 ERA. On top of that, Hughes has an ugly 5.49 ERA at at home and has been hit hard in his two starts against the White Sox this season. He allowed 4 runs in 5 innings on 4/3 and 5 runs in 5 innings at home on 6/22. Not to mention Hughes is an awful 2-10 in his last 12 starts at home in night games and his team has lost by an average score of 2.3 to 6.6.

Another huge factor in this one is that the Twins swept the White Sox in the most recent series between these two teams. All underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 who are  revenging a sweep at the hands of their opponents, after scoring 1 or less runs in a loss to a division rival (lost 1-2 to KC yesterday) are 33-16 since 1997. That's a 67% system in favor of the White Sox. Take Chicago!

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MLB  |  Jul 24, 2014
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres
in 8h

Thursday's MLB Free Pick  ---San Diego Padres -121---

This is a great spot to back the Padres. As bad as San Diego has been in 2014, the Cubs have been even worse and Chicago has been a free fall since trading away Samardzija and Hammel. The Padres won easily 8-3 yesterday and I like their chances of cashing in another comfortable win given today's pitching matchup.

San Diego will send out Tyson Ross, who despite a 8-10 record has a strong 2.70 ERA and 1.171 WHIP over 21 starts. Ross has been even better of late, posting a 1.35 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Chicago will counter with Edwin Jackson, who has been one of baseballs worst starters this season. Jackson is 5-10 with a 5.61 ERA and 1.563 WHIP over 20 starts and comes in with an awful 9.60 ERA and 1.800 WHIP over his last 3 starts. On top of that, Jackson is 0-5 with a 6.95 ERA and 1.81 WHIP over 9 career starts (1-9 team record) against the Padres.

Key Trends - Jackson is 5-19 over the last 3 seasons against poor power teams who average 0.9 or less home runs per game and 3-17 in his last 20 starts following a start where he didn't walk a batter. San Diego is 5-1 in their last 6 against the NL Central and 4-1 in Ross' last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.

System - All teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (SAN DIEGO) - poor power team - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season, after scoring 8 runs or more are 233-130 (64%) over the last 5 seasons. BET THE PADRES -121!

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MLB  |  Jul 24, 2014
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers
  at  5DIMES
in 10h

Detroit Tigers +120

This is a good pitching matchup with Max Scherzer vs. Garrett Richards. This one comes down to the fact that I believe in Scherzer a lot more than Richards at this point so getting him at +120 is just too good value to ignore. If you are looking for more, you can also see that Scherzer to just 3 hits over 7 innings back in April. 

He has only been an underdog twice all season and the Tigers won both games.  On the diamond you have to take your chances a little more.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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MLB  |  Jul 24, 2014
Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
  at  5DIMES
in 8h

Thursday MLB Free Play from Doc’s Sports Take #965 Cleveland Indians (-107) over Kansas City Royals (Thursday, 8:10pm EST)  We’re roughly 100 games into the 2014 season and there aren’t too many hidden gems floating around the league anymore. But one guy that continues to fly a little bit under the radar is Indian’s starter Corey Kluber. The right-hander has had a breakout season at 10-6 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. He also has an impressive 9.7 strikeout rate per nine innings. He didn’t make the All-Star team, which was a big oversight. But that probably gives us some extra value with Kluber not getting all of the attention that he deserves. The Indians as a team struggled a bit out of the gate, but they are playing their best baseball of the season right now. They’ve won 12 of 18 coming into Wednesday and the decisions haven’t been particularly close for the most part. They have outscored their opponents 92-64 collectively during their run and they’re getting contributions from the entire roster. The Royals, on the other hand, have hit a wall after staying in contention near the top of the AL Central for most of the season. Kansas City dipped under .500 for the first time since early June and the main culprit is still the offense. They are 12th in the AL in runs scored and are in desperate need of a bat before the trading deadline. They’ll need a big effort for lefty Danny Duffy today to stay close, and I don’t see it. Duffy has had some impressive outings this season, but he is wildly inconsistent and usually blows up in at least one inning. The Indians are a patient team at the plate, so I’m confident they can put up a crooked number or two in this one. Take the Tribe here.

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