This play just missed out on our premium card. The Miami Marlins and the Cincinnati Reds face off on Friday night, and with the Marlins being at plus money they have a lot of value.
On the mound for the Reds is Homer Bailey who has struggled since coming back from injury. He has made five starts so far this year, and in three of them he gave up six runs or more.
In his last start it was ugly. He managed to go four innings against the Nationals and gave up eight runs on eight hits. I would expect the Marlins to be able to get their bats going early in this game and cruise to a pretty simple win. Some trends to note. Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 road games. Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a loss.
Back the Marlins.
Good Luck, Razor Ray
5* FREE MLB Play on ML
I'm backing the Minnesota Twins on Friday with Ervin Santana over Anibal Sanchez. Detroit's 4-game winning streak has come to a close with a thud, losing their last two games by a combined score of 20-7. The Tigers have struggled all season in road games against righties, winning just 10 of 33 games, while averaging just 3.9 rpg in night action, and that was with J.D. Martinez in the lineup. Martinez is now employed by the Diamondbacks and I expect the Tigers to have their problems with Minnesota righty, Ervin Santana. Santana is 9-4 in 19 starts against Detroit, posting a 3.08 ERA. He should find plenty of offensive backing with the Twins averaging over 5 rpg in home night action against righthanders. Detroit has had their way with Minnesota over the last few years, but not here and not tonight in my opinion. I'm backing the Twins on Friday night. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
1* FREE PLAY over Jays/Indians. Neither club can be happy with the performances of their respective starting pitchers this evening. Toronto turns to Marco Estrada (4-6, 5.33 ERA) who gave up four runs off five hits and four walks while striking out five over 3.2 innings in a fortunate no-decision against Detroit on Sunday. That makes it three straight starts that Estrada has failed to last past the fifth framesand he’s now allowed 23 walks over his last 24.1 innings of work (Estrada has been especially poor on the road as well with a 2-4, 5.63 ERA record.) Trevor Bauer (7-8, 5.59) has been even worse than his counterpart lately, most recently allowing four runs off three hits and three walks over 2/3’rds of an inning (additionally he owns a poor 4.75 ERA at home and a worse 5.66 ERA in all “night” games.) No need to over-think this one in my opinion, as recent form displayed by these starting pitchers suggests we’ll likely have a bit of a “slug-fest” on our hands. Consider the over.
Play - Miami Marlins w/Urena vs Bailey (Game 905).
Edges - Marlins: Urena 3-0 team starts versus NL Central this season, and 3-0 career team start away during July… Reds: Bailey 0-2 with 18.00 ERA and 2.57 WHIP home team starts this season, and 0-5 last five home team starts during July… With Bailey 0-2 against NL East foes this season as well, we recommend a 1* play on Miami. Thank you and good luck as always.
> Marc shares an Awesome Angle 10* MLB Key Play on Friday night’s card that is on a 13-1 winning run. Put this beauty right at the top of your ticket tonight - you’ll be glad you did!
Free MLB Prediction From Doc’s Sports:
Take ‘Over’ in Texas at Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Friday, July 21)
I like the ‘over’ in the opener of this weekend series because, frankly, it doesn’t make a ton of sense. The Rangers haven’t been hitting the ball at all. Tampa Bay doesn’t have a big offense. But I just think that the public is going to get burned wit this one. The ‘over’ is 11-3 in Tampa Bay’s last 14 games after an off day and the ‘over’ is 21-9 in the Rays’ last 29 games overall. Tampa Bay has played ‘over’ in 11 straight home games and Alex Cobb, who can be inconsistent, is kind of due for a dud start. The same goes for Yu Darvish. Both starters are capable of dominating and both have been very consistent. But something tells me that they are going to get touched up for five combined runs and then the bullpens are going to cough up enough runs for this one to flop over.
Free Pick on Phillies -
I like the value here with Philadelphia at home against the struggling Brewers. Phillies are clearly out of the playoff race but have been playing well. They won the final 2 of a 3-game series at Miami and have the offense rolling, scoring at least 5 runs in 4 straight games, including a 10-run outburst last time out on Wednesday. So while Matt Garza has thrown the ball well of late, I think the Phillies bats will do enough damage here.
I believe Milwaukee is feeling the pressure of the Cubs, who have won 6 straight out the break to turn a 5.5-game deficit in the NL Central to just 1-game. The Brewers have lost 5 straight and were just swept in a 4-game series against the Pirates. The offense isn't there for Milwaukee, as they have now scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 straight games. Hard to see them snapping out of that funk against the red-hot Aaron Nola, who is 3-1 with a 1.78 ERA in his last 5 starts and it's worth noting he's got an impressive 51 strikeouts over 35 1/3 innings during this run. Take Philadelphia!
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R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Friday 7-21-17
UNDER 7 1/2 Boston/LA Angels
R&R Totals has a TOP MLB Over-Under for Friday! Now an impressive 398-296 (57%) over his last 754 MLB picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $84,300 since October 09, 2013!
The Cubs are perfect since All Star break and I see that continuing here. Arrieta after a slow start has really picked it up as of late with a 1.46 ERA his last three starts. He also owns a 9-3 career record against the Cardinals with a 2.26 ERA.
Martinez just hasn't been up to par with a 2-5 road record and a 6.35 ERA his last three starts. He has pitched well against the Cubs in both starts this year, but both of those were at home and he is facing a different Cubs lineup with a lot of confidence right now
7/21 07:10 PM EST MLB (929) OAKLAND ATHLETICS VS (930) NEW YORK METS.
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
Reason: Your free play for Friday, July 21, 2017 comes in baseball as the Oakland A's head to New York to face the Mets. Oakland has a bad offense going and loses the DH for this series. Starter Paul Blackburn (1.83 ERA) has good stiff, off a 5-3 win over Cleveland. Oakland is 7-2-1 under the total in interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Mets are 4-1-1 under against a team with a losing record. Starter Steve Matz is off a bad game against a powerhouse Colorado offense but has a pair of 7-inning shutouts to his credit in two of his last four starts. The Mets are 11-5 under the total when he starts. Play the Oakland/NY Mets Under the total.
1* Free Play on Braves +250