Free Plays


NBA  |  Apr 23, 2014
Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs
Total
198 ov-110
  at  BMAKER
in 9h

OVER 198.5   Mavs / Spurs

Expect the Mavs to push the pace and run it up and down all night and the Spurs will and can keep pace and no way they want to leave Dallas hanging around late so I expect a solid offensive performance out of both teams.  Spurs scoring 101 and allowing 101 in their last 5 games and Dallas will pull out all the stops tonight. 

 

 

Free Lean on the Over 2 Dime Best bet TOP PLAY tonight.  2-0 Sweep on Tuesday and hit another 2 Dime NBA Play.  2 Dimers now 9-2 ATS my last 11.  CASH OUT.  44-19 All Play run - RED HOT  

 

 

MLB  |  Apr 23, 2014
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets
New York Mets
+135
  at  SPBOOK
in 8h

Free Pick on New York Mets +

The Mets are showing great value as a home underdog against the Cardinals. Even with last night's loss in Game 1 of the series, New York is a respectable 5-3 over their last 8 games.

The Mets will send out Jon Niese, who has pitched much better than his 0-2 record would indicate. Niese has a strong 2.84 ERA and 1.105 WHIP over his first three starts. In his two starts at home this season, Niese has allowed just 3 runs on 10 hits over 11 and 2/3 innings. That's not a huge surprise, as he had a solid 3.34 ERA over the previous three seasons at home (42 starts).  It's also worth noting that Niese is 3-1 with a 2.00 ERA over 5 career starts versus the Cardinals.

St Louis counters with Michael Wacha, who I believe is getting a little too much love on the road. While Wacha is 2-1 with a 1.73 ERA on the season and pitched well in his lone start away from home at Washington, he was not nearly as effective on the road as he was at home in 2013. Wacha had a 2.15 ERA in St Louis and a 4.34 ERA on the road.

Home underdogs who are a poor power teams, averaging less than 1 home run per game against a starting pitcher who has a 3.70 ERA or better and is allowing 0.5 or less Home runs per start (NL only), are 68-44 over the last 5 seasons. That's a 61% underdog system in favor of the Mets!

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