Free Plays


NCAA-F  |  Sep 20, 2014
Oregon vs. Washington State
Oregon
-23½-106
  at  PINNACLE
in 8h

Play On favorites of 21.5 to 31 points like Oregon after gaining 6.75 or more yards a play in two consecutive games, with eight offensive starters returning. How this college football system works is the Ducks have an experienced offense which can gain yards in chunks and either hit big plays for scores or wear opposing teams down by grinding out first down after first down. 

In the last 21 years, this system is a remarkable 27-3 ATS, 90 percent. Another aspect to also consider is Oregon had their flat game last week against Wyoming and they should be primed to wipe out Washington State.

I am 66-28 in Top Plays and 36-21 in NFL Premium selections. I am preparing for a LIGHTS OUT weekend for Football and will have a lot Winning Plays, including SEC - G.O.M -Consider a 1-Week Pass of WINNERS.

NCAA-F  |  Sep 20, 2014
Miami (Fla) vs. Nebraska
Nebraska
-7½-105
  at  BOVADA
in 6h

Saturday NCAA Free Play

 

Courtesy of Tony George Sports

 

Miami @ Nebraska -7.5

Two storied programs who dominated the 80” and 90’s and faced off in the 2001 Rose Bowl for the National Title square off in Lincoln Nebraska for a night game on national TV Saturday Night.  The Huskers last home game was a scare from McNeese State but they bounced back nicely with a blowout road win at Fresno State, my Game of the Year Winner last week, with a 55-19 waxing of the Bulldogs as a 12 point favorite. 

There are numerous keys in this game, but one thing is for sure, you will see 2 quality running backs getting the rock in this one, Duke Johnson for the Canes who has yet to live up to full potential, and all world Ameer Abdullah for Nebraska who is a Heisman hopeful.  At days end a real key for NU is their aggressive defensive line and getting back All American DE Randy Gregory in this one, is a big advantage for Nebraska as Bo Pelini will send numerous blitz’s at Miami’s frosh QB Kaaya all night in passing situations.  A frosh QB in only his second road start in a rare night game in Lincoln is not a positive for the Canes, who had one other night game on National TV, where Louisville pounded them 31-13 and the game was never in doubt.   

Nebraska’s defense is a step down from Louisville’s overall in my opinion but better than advertised too, but it is the Husker running game and 3 headed monster with Abdullah, Cross and Newby, which is the best trifecta in the nation at running it including Georgia.  Husker QB Armstrong Jr. (who is a dual threat) has 2 weapons at WR in Westerkamp and Kenny Bell, who is one of the best receivers in the Big 10 not to mention both WR’s are huge special teams threats and both already have TD’s on special teams this year.  Nebraska’s ability to balance their offense is key here, and while Miami had had Florida AM and Arkansas State to warm up for this one, the Huskers at home are a big step up and are too much for the young QB and suspect defense.  Al Golden will have his team ready, there are just too many mis-matches in NU’s favor here including a home field worth 4 points, and there is no love lost at Nebraska for Miami who used to pummel them in big games for years, so expect a near riot atmosphere in Lincoln Saturday Night, and I personally will be one of those fans.

Huskers 31  Canes 20  - GO BIG RED!

 

NCAA Sat. Triple Header PLUS a 2 Dime BLOWOUT Top Play on Saturday in College Football.  CASH OUT!  

9-2-1 ATS in NFL - All Plays - 4 Pack Sunday off a 4-0 Sweep last week and I have a 2 Dime Play on my Sunday Card! 

NFL  |  Sep 21, 2014
Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
-9½-110
  at  BMAKER
in 23h

Minnesota @ New Orleans 1:00 PM ET
Game# 459-460
Play On: New Orleans -9.5

It doesn't matter to me whether the Vikings have Adrian Peterson available or not. I'm of the opinion that by early in the 2nd half they will become one-dimensional offensively, resulting from having to play from a better than 2-touchdown deficit, and they'll have to abandon the run. When that occurs, Matt Cassel will be asked to carry the load, and we saw what happened last week (4-interceptions) against New England when he was asked to do so.

The Saints come off two gut wrenching losses on the road to open the season. They lost in overtime 37-34 at Atlanta in the season opener, and then on the final play of regulation time last week in a 26-24 defeat at the hands of the Cleveland Browns. The Saints have gone a terrific 14-1 SU&ATS as a home favorite of 12.0 or less following a straight up loss since 9/28/2010, and that includes a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS in the last 7, with an average margin of victory being a whopping 22.2 points per game. This is also a New Orleans team that's went a perfect 8-0 at home in 2013, and covered in 7 of those 8-games.

In case you're wondering, any NFL home favorite that comes off 2 road losses in a row, and each came by 3-points or less, has gone 10-2 SU&ATS since 1980. It's a rare occurrence for sure, and the sample size leaves a lot to be desired, but nevertheless, an extremely profitable situation for the home favorite.

Any home favorite of 3.5 or more, coming off back-to-back straight up losses as an away favorite, has gone 17-5 ATS since 1980. Play on the New Orleans Saints minus the points.

NCAA-F  |  Sep 20, 2014
North Carolina vs. East Carolina
North Carolina
+3-110
  at  BOVADA
in 1h

Free Pick on North Carolina Tar Heels +

We are seeing a huge over-reaction by the books in this one, as North Carolina would have almost certainly been favored here or at least a pick'em if it wasn't for East Carolina coming off that huge upset win on the road over Virginia Tech. As impressive as that win was for the Pirates, they caught the Hokies in a perfect spot off that huge win at Ohio State. It was a clear letdown spot for Virginia Tech and now I'm expecting to see the same thing happen this week with East Carolina suffering a letdown.

Not only are the Pirates off a huge game against the Hokies, but they went up against SEC foe South Carolina the week prior. They played the Gamecocks closer than expected and I just don't think they will have enough left in the tank against what is going to be a motivated and well rested Tar Heels team.

North Carolina will be coming into this game off a bye, plus they will be out for revenge after getting embarrassed at home last year by East Carolina 31-55 as a 12-point favorite. That contest came early in the year during the Tar Heels 1-5 start and before quarterback Marquise Williams took over. Williams helped turn North Carolina's season around, as the Tar Heels closed out 5-1 to make a bowl.

Covering against quality opponents isn't exactly something the Pirates have exceeded at in the past, as they are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a winning record. East Carolina is also just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games after playing two straight non-conference games. That's a 81% (26-6) system in favor of the Tar Heels. Take North Carolina!

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NCAA-F  |  Sep 20, 2014
Clemson vs. Florida State
Florida State
-10-118
  at  BETONLINE
in 6h

This game features the 1-1 Clemson at the 2-0 FSU. People are making way to much of Jameis Winston being out they are stacked at every position and we are getting big time value on this line thanks to his suspension for the first half.  Sean Maguire is more then ready to handle this team of stars.  Clemson is not the team they were with out star QB Taj Boyd and I expect them to get dominated tonight on National TV as usually when a star player is out the rest of the team steps up.  75% of the public is on Clemson a big mistake as the books will clean up on this one take FSU minus the points for a 10* winner. ***BE SURE TO BUY MY BIG 12 GAME OF THE YEAR FORSALE ON MY HOMEPAGE I RARELY IF EVER LOSE GOY PLAYS IT'S A MUST BUY AND IT'S ON Okl at WVU a national tv game***

NCAA-F  |  Sep 20, 2014
Miami (Fla) vs. Nebraska
Miami (Fla)
+8-105
  at  BOVADA
in 6h

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Miami +8

Nebraska (3-0) has had a scare already this season with a 31-24 win over FCS foe McNeese State. However, it has taken care of business in its other two games, beating Florida Atlantic 55-7 in its opener and Fresno State 55-19 on the road last week.

Miami (2-1) got off to a shaky start to the season with a 13-31 road loss at Louisville. It has since rebounded with back-to-back blowout home victories over Florida A&M (41-7) and Arkansas State (41-20).

Both of these teams have had one poor performance this season apiece. I am a lot more worried about Nebraska’s last-minute home win over McNeese State than I am about Miami’s 18-point road loss to Louisville. Obviously, the Big Ten is down this season, and I don’t believe the Huskers are even close to the class of that conference.

We already saw one ACC team go on the road and upset what was supposed to be the best team in the Big Ten. Virginia Tech went into Ohio State and came away with a 35-21 victory despite being a 10-point underdog. I believe Miami is fully capable of going into Nebraska and pulling off the upset, but it just needs to stay within 8 points to cover the spread, which I expect it to do.

Miami hasn’t even lived up to its potential yet because it has shot itself in the foot with turnovers over the first three games. Indeed, it has already committed eight turnovers to this point. Freshman quarterback Brad Kaaya has now been able to get his feet wet and bounce back from a tough outing at Louisville. He is completing 60.0% of his passes for 693 yards with seven touchdowns and five picks. He should not be intimidated now that we are four weeks into the season.

Duke Johnson has rushed for 277 yards and two touchdowns while averaging 6.4 yards per carry. This guy was on pace for nearly 2,000 yards last year before getting hurt after seven starts. I believe this Nebraska defense is susceptible to the run. After all, the Huskers gave up 178 rushing yards to McNeese State, so Johnson should have his way all game.

Nebraska is a team that relies heavily on its rushing attack.  It is rushing for 324 yards per game, but keep in mind that it has faced three awful defenses.  Miami's biggest strength is its run defense, which is only allowing 83 yards per game and 2.0 per carry.  I just really believe this is a great match-up for the Hurricanes because of their ability to stop the run.

Miami is 8-0 ATS off a win by 17 points or more over the last three seasons. The Hurricanes are 8-1 ATS after playing a non-conference game over the last three seasons. Nebraska is 25-54-2 ATS in its last 81 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Miami is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games following an ATS win. The Huskers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.  Bet Miami Saturday.

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NCAA-F  |  Sep 20, 2014
Clemson vs. Florida State
Florida State
-14-110
  at  BMAKER
in 6h

Saturday's NCAAF Free Pick  ---Florida State Seminoles -14---

The books have over-adjust big time on this one due to Jameis Winston being suspended f and as a result we are getting excellent value backing the Seminoles as only a two touchdown favorite at home (now even smaller). I actually think this helps Florida State from a motivational standpoint, as I look for them to rally around backup quarterback Sean Maquire.

Those that have followed Florida State head coach Jimbo Fisher over his career, know he's one of the more well known quarterback developers in the game and I expect Maquire to surprise a lot of people with how well he plays. This is also a big game for Florida State in their hopes of defending their national title, so those that think this team is going to come out flat need to rethink things.

Last year Florida State went into Clemson and completely dismantled the Tigers 51-14. Rarely do you see Clemson get that bad at home and for me that's a pretty telling sign just how much big of a gap there is in these two programs. Had the Tigers come back with the same team from last year, I may be looking to take the other side, but I just don't see how they keep it competitive without Tahj Boyd and Sammy Watkins to guide the offensive attack. Even if Clemson can keep it close early, I expect Florida State to pull away here in the 2nd half and win by 20+.

Key Trends - Florida State is 35-18 ATS in their last 53 games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 following a SU win by more than 20 points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games. BET FLORIDA STATE -14!

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NCAA-F  |  Sep 20, 2014
California vs. Arizona
Total
69½ ov-110
  at  BMAKER
in 8h

*3 Star NCAA FB Free Pick* The Cal Golden Bears run a unique offense under Coach Sonny Dykes. Cal had a freshman quarterback in Jared Goff last year, and for a freshman he played well. Goff is that much better this year, and I expect Cal to be able to score on just about everyone they play this season. Arizona's offense is very good with talented freshmen Anu Solomon and Nick Wilson starring already. Rich Rodriguez's team is going to be able to move the ball early and often on a weak Cal defense. A big bonus here is that both teams play extremely fast. There are going to be a ton of offensive plays in this game, which makes this total easy attainable. It's a high total, but it's high for a reason. Take the over.

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NCAA-F  |  Sep 20, 2014
North Carolina vs. East Carolina
North Carolina
+3-105
  at  BOVADA
in 1h

Chip's NCAA 3-Pack of Best Bet (3-0) Winners

Chip Chirimbes Las Vegas is a 3-time College Handicapping Champion and is off last weeks 8-1 89% and is 15-2 86% his last 17 NCAA releases including a 3-0 SWEEP of Best Bets. Saturday he is posting his Three Highest Rated NCAA winners including his 'Highest Rated' Vegas Insiders (3-0) winner between Miami and Nebraska, his 'Money Game' winner between West Virginia and Oklahoma and his Power Play(2-0) winner between Virginia and BYU. Get it ALL NOW and WIN CASH with Chip's 3-Pack of NCAA Best Bets 'Guaranteed' to turn a profit! A $150 Value...Only $99





FREE NCAA Winner

North Carolina at East Carolina- This one is a set-up with the Pirates off a he upseT win over Virginia Tech. Tar Heels much better then rated...Take NORTH CAROLINA!



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NFL  |  Sep 21, 2014
Washington Redskins vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles
-6½-103
  at  PINNACLE
in 23h

Free NFL Football Prediction From Doc’s Sports: Take #456 Philadelphia over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21) I have handed out FOUR straight free play winners in this space, and I want to keep it rolling! I am also off to a sensational college football start with over $2,300 in profit and this week I’m going to keep that rolling, too. I won with the Eagles on Monday Night Football to cap a winning NFL Week 2, and I think I’ll go right back to them here. I think the Eagles have more momentum off their comeback win over Washington than the Redskins gained by blowing out the Jaguars. There is no doubt that Kirk Cousins is a better quarterback – by a wide margin – than Bob Griffin. But there are still some fundamental problems with Washington, particularly in the secondary, and the Eagles should exploit those weaknesses. Philadelphia is going to be nearly impossible to beat at home this season, and I think that they are going to wear teams down and tack on those extra couple fourth quarter scores to keep them ahead of a lot of lines. They have won their last five regular season home games by an average of 17 points and those differentials were by 17, 43, 14, 3 and 8 points. Even if you kick out the 43-point outlier the other four wins were by an average of 10.5 points per game. The Eagles are only 7-21 ATS in their last 28 home games. But those numbers are set up for a huge regression, and I can see the Eagles going 6-2 or 7-1 ATS this season on their own turf. This Philadelphia team is one of the best in football. And even though Washington has some solid defensive stats working in their favor they have also faced Ryan Fitzpatrick and Chad Henne this year. This will be the best offense the Eagles have faced to date, and I don’t know that they’re up for it. The action is split almost 50-50 in this game, and the Redskins are taking the lion’s share of the moneyline action. But this isn’t a 50-50 game at all. Philadelphia will pull away late, and I can see them winning this one by between 13-17 points. 

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