Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach
MLB Saturday Free Pick Boston Red Sox @ Minnesota @ 2:10 ET
As long-time followers know I rarely lay juice and certainly avoid $2+ favorites! However, I will rarely lay in this price range ($1.50) when it is an exceptionally strong situation and i see solid line value. That is the case here with the Red Sox after they fell short a second straight day at Minnesota yesterday. Boston has not lost three straight games this entire season and I don’t expect that to change here!
The Red Sox will have Rick Porcello on the mound and he has a stellar 1.83 ERA and 1.07 WHIP this season. The biggest problem for Porcello this season has been a lack of run support but that should change today. Nick Tepesch gets the start for the Twins and he has a 2.00 ERA in his 3 starts this season but those were in the minors. Also, he hasn’t pitched in 2 weeks so his pitch count will be limited here plus I don’t expect him to be sharp since he’s been on such a layoff. Keep in mind, Tepesch is 9-18 with a 4.68 ERA in his MLB career and has only made 1 start at the MLB level since 2014. The Red Sox are 8-4 in day games this season while Minnesota, even with yesterday’s win, is still only 2-5 in home games with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs this season.
Free Pick on BOSTON RED SOX -151