Courtesy of Alex Smart
Astros LHP Dallas Keuchel (5-0) vs Yankees RH Micheal Pineda ( 3-1,3.12 ERA)
Today at Yankee Stadium, we have what sets up to be a pitching duel. The Astros southpaw starter today Keuchel the AL Pitcher of the Month for April has owned the Yankees in his career, as is evident a stingy 1.41 ERA in six starts, including the postseason. He threw six scoreless innings in the 2015 AL Wild Card Game . He owns a 1.88 ERA on the season. According to Statcast, Keuchel has thrown a MLB-high 12.4 percent of his pitches on the corners of the strike zone this season the highest rate in the Majors for those with at least 250 total pitches.
When and if he falters he is backed by a solid bullpen with a 2.70 road ERA this season. I know the Yanks bats have been hot early on this campaign, but overall Houston has allowed 3 runs or less in 8 of their L/11 overall, and have the ability to slow the Yankees offense. Meanwhile, The Yankees have won Pineda’s , last five starts. In his last trip to the hill, he went six innings and allowed two runs on three hits in a 3-2 win over the defending World Series Champion Cubs, taking a no-decision. Overall, he’s struck out 43 and walked five and continues to look strong as was the case in his last two, as he allowed just two earned runs and eight hits over 11 1/3 innings, striking out 14. In three home starts this season, Pineda has registered a miniscule 1.35 ERA. The Yankees starter is backed by a bullpen with a solid 2.64 ERA on the season. Everything points to a low scoring affair.
Astros are 17-6 UNDER L/23 vs. an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 2.70 or better with a combined average of just 7.3 rpg going on the scoreboard. Astros have gone under in 14 to 19 game 1 of a series. Yankees, are UNDER is 6-1 vs the AL West. The Yankees have gone under in 5 o the less 7 vs a pitcher of 1.15 ERA.
Play on the UNDER 7.5